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Germany Election Results Maps: How Conservatives Regained Power

by Delarno
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Germany Election Results Maps: How Conservatives Regained Power


How the 630 seats will be distributed

Germany’s conservative Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) won Sunday’s election as voters rebuked the nation’s left-leaning government for its handling of the economy and immigration.

Provisional results by party

Party Votes Pct. Seats
CDU/CSU 14,158,432 28.52 208
AfD 10,327,148 20.80 152
SPD 8,148,284 16.41 120
Greens 5,761,476 11.61 85
Die Linke 4,355,382 8.77 64
Others 2,273,817 4.58 1
BSW 2,468,670 4.97 0
FDP 2,148,878 4.33 0

Voters gave the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party the second-highest number of seats in Parliament, ahead of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s center-left Social Democrats (SPD) and the Greens, according to provisional results.

Change in vote share since 2021

The Christian Democrats, AfD and Die Linke won more votes than in the last general election.

There were smaller surprises, including the last-minute surge of the far-left party Die Linke. The liberal and pro-business Free Democrats (FDP), who had been a part of the last government until November, did not meet the 5 percent vote threshold they would need to maintain seats in Parliament. The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), a pro-Russia splinter from the old German left that formed last year, also fell just short of qualifying for parliamentary seats, although on Monday, Ms. Wagenknecht indicated that she would push for a recount.

Highlighting the widespread discontent with Mr. Scholz’s government over the last three years, all three parties in the coalition — the Social Democrats, the Greens and FDP — lost support.

Vote shifts since 2021

Germans cast two votes when they go to the polls. The first vote goes to elect a direct representative for their district, while the second vote is cast for a party.

Arrows show the increase or decrease in each party’s vote share in the second vote, compared with the last general election.

Christian Democrats

Center right

Alternative for Germany

Far right

Social Democrats

Center left

Free Democratic Party

Liberal

Support for the Social Democrats plunged everywhere, but nowhere more than in the east. The Christian Democrats made gains throughout the southern and western districts.

The coalitions

The Christian Democrats will need to build a coalition to govern because they did not win an outright majority of seats. Given Sunday’s results, the most likely pairing is the CDU and the incumbent Social Democrats.

That combination would return the country to the more durable two-party form of government that has led it for most of this century, most recently during Angela Merkel’s final term as chancellor.

Possible mainstream coalitions

CDU/CSU and SPD 328 total seats

CDU/CSU and Greens 293 total seats

CDU/CSU, SPD and Greens 413 total seats

Unlikely coalitions

CDU/CSU and AfD 360 total seats

316 seats needed
for majority

The largest possible coalition, the one between the Christian Democrats and the second-place finisher, the AfD, is politically not an option. The CDU’s leader, Friedrich Merz, has promised never to join with the AfD, which routinely flirts with Nazi slogans and whose members have diminished the Holocaust and have been linked to plots to overthrow the government.

But the returns showed that the AfD is a growing force in German politics.

Support surges for the AfD

The far-right AfD doubled its vote share from four years ago and came first in most constituencies in the former East Germany, which has long been its base. The party also won the most votes in two constituencies in the west for the first time.

Where the AfD has won the most votes

The AfD came in first in most constituencies in the former East Germany.

Note: Map shows the results of the second vote in each election.

Thirty-five years after the reunification of East and West Germany, the country is still divided, and so are its voters. The prosperity gap between the two is one reason so many people — especially young people — have left the East.

Sources: Regionaldatenbank Deutschland and Bundesagentur für Arbeit.

Note: Age data is as of December 31, 2023, the unemployment rate is from November 2024, and the disposable income per capita is from 2021.

The constituencies where the far-right AfD won the most votes mapped closely to the boundaries of the former East Germany, with some exceptions around Berlin and Leipzig, where the far-left Die Linke party was most popular.



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